Tomorrow at LVS School in Ascot I am giving a presentation to the public on the general subject of Spies. 

Always a fascinating theme down the centuries. Plenty about the subject here on my website, including my piece for DIPLOMAT in 2010 that looked briefly at the differences between HUMINT, SIGINT and COMINT:

Machines can do amazing things. But not everything.

The main vulnerability in any system is people. Unreliable and unpredictable. They get tired and make mistakes. They may not be as clever as they think they are. Above all, someone working ‘for the other side’ is under huge pressure, as the penalties for treason are usually severe. But if one side can persuade someone on the other side to betray their organisation, colleagues and country, wonderful grazing opens up for spying.

And those dangerous ‘sleeper’ spies:

… Without looking carefully at the whole production chain of intelligence information, it makes no sense to snigger, as so many Western media outlets disgracefully did, at the significance of this excellent US power-play against this laboriously-established and valuable Russian network.

To make matters even worse for Moscow, it looks as if the Americans had been following this group for years, learning all sorts of new things about Russian top-end technique in the process. So why arrest the sleeper group now? Because the whole operation was maturing on schedule, ie they were getting too close to senior Americans?

All of which explains why Moscow was so keen to set up a rapid ‘spy swap’ and get these now wide-awake sleepers back to Mother Russia as fast as possible, to minimise the embarrassment but much more importantly to find out just what damage had been done.

Before my LVS presentation I gave an interview this morning to BBC Radio Berkshire where in three segments over some 30 minutes I had the chance to answer some very basic questions about spying and its pitfalls and dangers. The link is here: you have several weeks to listen before the BBC takes it down.

LVS Ascot is a good, lively school with an interesting history. It was originally set up in Kennington in London in 1803 as a charity to help educate the children of people who worked in pubs and the drinks trades. It has sister schools in West Sussex and Oxfordshire for special needs children.

Anyway, tomorrow night at LVS Ascot is where I appear, armed with all sorts of vivid examples of spying triumphs and calamities. Open to the public.