John Redwood aims to correct in brisk fashion some ‘Continental Misunderstandings’ about a future Conservative Government’s policy on further EU integration (and indeed the EU integration we already have).
Eg on the Lisbon Treaty:
“We assume the Conservatives will go along with the European project and with the Lisbon settlement – the UK has always in the past joined in, albeit reluctantly and late.”
It would be unwise to make such an assumption this time. When Margaret Thatcher came to power she did want to complete the Single market, and when Tony Blair came to power he did want to give the EU more powers over social and employment policy. The modern Conservatives have no wish to grant any more power to the EU. Moreover, we have voted against Nice, Amsterdam and Lisbon because we disagree fundamentally with them, and expect powers back. As William Hague has said, we cannot leave matters as they are if Lisbon has been ratified by all countries.
“What can the UK do if Lisbon has not been ratified by all countries?”
An incoming government can keep its pledge to give the people a referendum. If they vote No to Lisbon the government will repeal the legislation and the Treaty is dead.
A UK referendum of this sort would be a cracker of an event. Some Continentals must be wondering nervously what happens if the Irish problem remains ‘open’ and the Labour Party’s agonies here prompt an early UK election.
Otherwise the key point is the proposition that if Lisbon has been ratified (somehow) by the time the Conservatives take over (if they do), "matters cannot be left as they are".
Fine. But what exactly to do?
There is always the famous Lisbon Treaty Article 50 which for the first time makes explicit the option of a member state actually leaving the EU, even if the last word zanily looks to be left with the European Council once the European Parliament has given its ‘consent’:
1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.
2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.
Heading into that maelstrom is maybe too dramatic a UK move, for the time being.
But as there is no prospect of our EU partners agreeing to ‘re-open’ the Treaty to row back some of it for the UK’s benefit, what else is available?
The next best lever for Change We Brits Can Believe In is … British Money. Not agreeing to pay it into the central pot without radical reforms.
That means the next Financial Perspective negotiations which come round again in 2012 or thereabouts.
180 weeks or so.
Not too long.










